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NFL MVP odds: Josh Allen the favorite as season ends

The NFL regular season has ended, and while the playoffs are now the focus, it’s natural to start thinking about who might be crowned the league’s MVP.

Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson — both dual-threat quarterbacks for teams that have legitimate Super Bowl aspirations — have been the favorites, according to oddsmakers for much of the back half of the season. The two have put up big numbers while leading their teams to big wins.

Still, they’re far from alone. A few players had seasons that in other years might have guaranteed an MVP award. Saquon Barkley had one of the best seasons by a running back in NFL history, while Joe Burrow threw for just shy of 5,000 yards, leading the league in multiple passing categories.

Here’s are the latest NFL MVP odds as of Thursday, Jan. 9, courtesy of DraftKings.

NFL MVP odds after end of regular season

1. QB Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (-450)

As the regular season wound to a close, oddsmakers leaned more and more toward Allen. The dual threat had more passing and rushing touchdowns last season, but Allen took big steps in avoiding mistakes. He threw just six interceptions in 483 pass attempts and was sacked 14 times or 2.82% of his dropbacks.

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His ability to put up big numbers while playing virtually error-free football has guided the Bills to a 13-4 record and has Allen poised to claim the NFL’s top individual honor.

2. QB Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens (+320)

Jackson has been Allen’s closest competitor for the award in recent weeks, but the consensus seems to be that he will narrowly miss out on his third MVP crown.

Still, Jackson has led the league in yards per attempt as a passer and as a rusher. That helped the Ravens quarterback post a touchdown to interception ratio of 41 to four. Jackson’s candidacy might have been hampered by Baltimore’s inconsistency as a team, though the Ravens did recover to win the AFC North with a 12-5 record.

3. RB Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles (+8000)

Barkley missed out on a chance for the all-time single-season rushing record when Philadelphia opted to sit its star running back in a meaningless Week 18 game. That pretty much ended his MVP chances. He’s third in oddsmakers’ eyes.

Still, his 2,005-yard season ranks eighth all-time, and the Eagles hope that the rest bolsters their hopes of turning their 14-3 season into a run for another Super Bowl title.

4. QB Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (+10000)

For most of the NFL’s history, leading the league in passing yards (4,918) and touchdowns (43) would make a player a slam-dunk MVP winner. However, Burrow’s tremendous 2024-25 season was undermined by the Bengals’ miserable start. The team missed the playoffs despite finishing with a five-game winning streak.

Between Cincinnati’s struggles outside the quarterback position and the play of Allen, Jackson and Barkley, Burrow’s odds to win the MVP award are remote.

5. QB Jared Goff, Detroit Lions (+15000)

Goff and the Lions finished with the NFC’s best record (15-2), and the veteran quarterback finished second in yards (4,629), yards per attempt (8.6) and fourth in touchdowns (37). Goff was right there with Jackson and Burrow as a passer and led Detroit to a top record..

Nonetheless, his odds are very long, underlining the gap between Allen, Jackson and the rest of the MVP candidates.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

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